nippy, this is the exact logical fallacy we are talking about.
The fact that you found 30% not being the biological father to be shocking is the logical fallacy you are making and that we are trying to point out to you.
People more conversant with conditional probability would be surprised that the number is not higher.
That figure means that when the paternity is contested, 70% of the time, the man is wrong.
Or to put it another way, when the paternity is contested, men are wrong over 230% more often than women.
Or to put it another way, these stats show that in contested paternities, the men are more than twice as likely to be wrong than the females.
That is the fact that should surprise you.
These stats don't cast *men* in a very good light at all.
You don't even know how many if any of the women in the 30% were in monogamous relationships. Yet you are trying to use these stats to support a general distrust of women. When they show the opposite.
