you tell us if you have refs, thanks
I'd say at a guess that his opinion if probably more right than wrong - he's not going to trash his reputation going out on a biased silly thin limb at a guess - with something that could be knocked down easily
my guess is that Tassie is in deep shit
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saul_Eslake
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Liberal party economic management, page-3
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