PLS 1.64% $3.00 pilbara minerals limited

Lithium Demand surge, page-180

  1. 8,981 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 4435
    One of the analyst I follow states lithium miners should be valued on mupliples of EBITA, and not on NAV multiples. He says projects get acquired at 10 - 15 x EBITDA multiples.

    If we assume EBITDA multiple is 12.5 | Assume spod price of US$800 pt | Assume opex of US$225 pt, these are the numbers I get when I value PLS stage 1 and 2;

    Stage 1
    350,000 tonnes x US$800 - US$225 = $201,250,000 EBITA
    12.5 x $$201,250,000 = valuation  of $2.516 bill
    Valuation of $2.516 bill / number shares on issue 1.73 bill = sp of $1.45  

    Stage 2 (getting ahead of myself)
    840,000 tonnes x US$800 - US$225 = $483,000,000 EBITA
    12.5 x  US$483,000,000 = valuation  of US$6.038 bill
    Valuation of $6.038 bill / number shares on issue 1.73 bill = sp of $3.49

    Converting the above numbers to AUD, completly blows the dog off the chain. Am I missing anything here?
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add PLS (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
Last
$3.00
Change
-0.050(1.64%)
Mkt cap ! $9.029B
Open High Low Value Volume
$3.03 $3.06 $3.00 $41.07M 13.59M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
97 622937 $3.00
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
$3.01 580 1
View Market Depth
Last trade - 16.10pm 05/07/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
PLS (ASX) Chart
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.