LTR 2.48% 78.5¢ liontown resources limited

The bottom is in for the lithium equity bear market:1. Commodity...

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    The bottom is in for the lithium equity bear market:

    1. Commodity equities bottom before commodity prices anticipating a cyclical turn (even ignoring C19 impacts).

    2. Rational industry players will respond with supply cuts as another leg down in prices will cut deep into the middle of the cost curve.

    3. Rising Lithium M&A + high short interest = pain trade.

    4. The interest rate cycle is turning & the sector is highly sensitive to rates.
    Higher rates have impacted IRRs on renewable energy projects - power gen, resi solar, storage and auto loans. Lower auto loans equals higher EV sales.

 
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