Thanks for your analysis. A few comments.
. China saturation of own market. 52 % penetration current means 48% to go in a growing auto market so plenty of expansion yet in China. Also rest of world outside EU, US and Canada to sell to. Only US and Canada with 100% tariffs. China can expand for some time yet.
. Trump has promised BIg Oil favours in return for donations so is the compromised candidate. Lots of rhetoric against EV's. Could eliminate tax credit for EV's.
.Tesla enjoys virtual EV monopoly inside US behind 100% tariff wall under Trump. Elon doesn't always put profitability before ideology anyway: look how he runs X!!
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