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Motley today with brokers guesses ..

FY 2025 outlook

Goldman is forecasting spodumene production of 146kt, which it expects to underpin revenue of $143 million.

However, this won't be enough to make Liontown profitable according to Goldman. It expects another year of losses before it becomes profitable in FY 2026. The broker is forecasting an EBITDA loss of $224 million and a net loss of $162 million.

Bell Potter doesn't agree with this view. It believes Liontown will generate positive EBITDA of $32 million and a loss of $58 million in FY 2025.

Both brokers believe FY 2026 will see Liontown deliver its maiden net profit. Goldman expects a net profit of $18.5 million, whereas Bell Potter is forecasting a whopping $434 million profit. The difference is likely down to Bell Potter being more upbeat about the outlook for lithium prices than Goldman Sachs.