No the random chances are a lot less than that, because I have given specific targets. All you have done is work out the probabilities the stocks are all down at the expiry time, which is quite different.
You have to use Black-Scholes to work out the correct probabilities, over the H&S prediction timespan, and they arent good.
But if you are not a betting woman, what are you doing on a stocks site? Every purchase you make is a gamble.
