AVB 0.00% 16.5¢ avanco resources limited

long term target, page-17

  1. 646 Posts.
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    based upon the results released to date in this infill drilling program, Im expecting a resource upgrade to around 280,000t @ 11%, based upon a slight widening and increase in depth in the really sweet high grade spot (50m @ 9%).

    Following this onto a DCF model, with the below assumptions.
    - ROM @ 70,000t/yr
    - factoring in dilution on mining, 9% grade
    - plant recovery of 80%
    - copper price of $3.50 (keep you copper bulls happy)
    - Cash cost of $1.70
    - Capex of 11mil in 2012 @ 1mil in 2013.
    - discount value of 12%
    - Capital raising of $12 mil @ 20c for 60mil shares. Assuming they can get the majority of the options exercised early to give them $3mil US(total scrip on issue 810.9 mil shares)
    - production ramp up commencing in 2012
    - payable metal 96.5%.

    Gives us a value per share on the high grade stuff of 5.8c



 
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