Possible dates for GE 13…
Since the fasting month of Ramadan would commence around July 19 it is unlikely that the general election would be called before that, given the fact that the BN government needs time to correct certain public perceptions particularly relating to Bersih 3.0.
Once Hari Raya Puasa is over, the next possible month for general election would be September but the UPSR examination is commencing on Sept 11. Again it is unlikely that the general election would be called before Sept 11 as it would definitely disrupt the schools’ preparations for the examination.
The budget parliamentary session would also take place during the month of September and the BN government might not want to miss this golden opportunity of dishing out some goodies for the rakyat in the name of Budget 2013.
Hari Raya Haji falls on Oct 26 and if the election is held during this month, BN would have to face the wrath of PAS leaders who would criticise Umno and BN for holding elections while many Muslims are away in Mecca performing their Haj pilgrimage.
To make matters worse, the PMR examination is also scheduled to take place during the month of October.
During November, the SPM and STPM examinations would be held in a long stretch and again holding the general election during this month is also out of the question.
In Malaysia, general elections are not held during the month of December because of the monsoon season in the East Coast states of Peninsular Malaysia. During December, some east coast states including Johor are prone to floods .
Therefore, all the factors put together indicate that the GE-13 would only take place in 2013
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