CRF 0.00% $2.30 centro retail australia

Hi All,This is sensational news for...

  1. 5,726 Posts.
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    Hi All,

    This is sensational news for Centro.

    http://www.smh.com.au/business/imf-centro-settlement-worth-200m-20120508-1y9y9.html

    Even if the payout is $200M, it would be split between Centro Properties and Centro Retail.

    CRF is not liable for any adverse ruling against CNP. That is what the $10M was put aside for when the recapitalisation took place.

    There would have been more class action applicants for CNP than CER given CNP fell much more in % terms and market cap terms than CER.

    Also CNP was a majority holder of CER so obviously that reduces the number of claimants by half.

    If PWC is liable to pay 1/3 of the $200M, then CER and CNP would be required to foot the bill for the balance of $133M.

    Say even if CNP and CER are liable to pay 50% each (this is worst case scenario for CER), then we are liable for $67M.

    it should be noted that a CATS liability of $65.8 was provided for in the Dec 11 accounts of CRF.

    If we have to pay $67M (around the CATS liability figure provided for), this would reduce NTA approximately by a further 5c ($67m/1.3b shares on issue)

    This would bring our NTA to $2.30.

    Share price is currently $1.85. This would make CRF trade at about 20% under NTA.

    Look at CFX, WRT, CQR, GPT to get a feel for what discounts REITs are currently trading at.

    Even if CRF were trading at $2.10, this would still put CRF at a bigger discount to other REITS……

    Cheers
 
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