The results of PLS auction for Spod on 18 March (see article...

The results of PLS auction for Spod on 18 March (see article quote below) will be very interesting to compare to the China spot price. I would place much more weight on the PLS realised price than China’s which is very opaque. The realised price may have an impact on SP of all lithium stocks not just PLS.

One last thought - why would PLS do an auction in the current very poor market environment if it did not expect a higher price than the China spot market price?

It’s a ********* article.

“Pilbara Minerals (ASXLS) is poised to reinvigorate the market for spodumene concentrate as it gears up to resume its auctions early next week. The move comes as the company seeks to leverage price dynamics to stimulate demand in the lithium sector.

Having orchestrated the Battery Material Exchange (BMX) auctions successfully in 2021 and 2022, Pilbara Minerals pivoted to a future price-based system in 2023. However, in light of market shifts and waning demand, the company is returning to the auction model to recalibrate pricing and demand dynamics.

The decision to reinstate the auctions follows a series of strategic maneuvers by Pilbara Minerals. In February 2023, the company entered into a groundbreaking sales arrangement, laying the groundwork for a 15,000-tonne cargo of spodumene concentrate. Under this innovative commercial model, Pilbara Minerals would derive value based on lithium hydroxide tolling, reflecting the evolving landscape of the lithium market.

Despite initial optimism, market conditions took a downturn as 2023 progressed, marked by a slump in prices amidst softened demand from electric vehicle (EV) and battery manufacturers in China. Undeterred, Pilbara Minerals has forged ahead, securing new sales deals with prominent Chinese firms like Ganfeng and Chengxin. These agreements, coupled with plans to expand spodumene production capacity by 70% over the next two years, underscore the company's commitment to driving growth and adapting to market dynamics.

The forthcoming spodumene auction, slated for March 18, holds significant implications for the global lithium market. As the first transparent price benchmark in over a year, the auction's outcome will offer invaluable insights into pricing trends and demand sentiment.

In a market characterized by volatility and rapid evolution, Pilbara Minerals' decision to revive its auction platform signifies a strategic recalibration aimed at seizing opportunities and navigating challenges in the burgeoning lithium sector. As stakeholders await the results of the upcoming auction, all eyes are on Pilbara Minerals as it charts a course towards sustainable growth and market leadership.”