LYC 0.76% $6.51 lynas rare earths limited

Still nothing on schedule or cost up dates. This was announced...

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    Still nothing on schedule or cost up dates. This was announced as a must do in May of 2019 now 2years later still no new announcement on schedule or a guess at final cost. I am not looking for details and company secrets. Just some general ideas. On site construction will start Q1 2022. Construction complete Q4 2022. Dry testing Q1 2022 First concentrate run Early Q2 2023. 50 % capacity June 2023 First product arrives in Malaysia in AUG 2023. As you can see this is now becoming a tight schedule. I firmly believe the AL team is much better that the NC team. This is the biggest project they have ever done and it is in parallel with Lamp improvements, Concentration improvement, and LREE and HREE in Texas.

    As far as cost I would be very happy with the total cost is expected to be X plus or minus 20% of which about 80 to 95 % is expected to be CAP EX.

    I have said this before but the MAY 2019 plan had the most detail 2020 and 2021 each had less than the year before. Look back at NEXT first very general detail at the AM. Then more detail nearly every Q CC. I am probably overly pessimistic, when info decreases (as opposed to becoming more detailed) I look for problems. As a project manger during the concept stage I was very happy for this task will take 4 to 6 months. But once we were well into design I expected schedule to show weekly goals. Now when I sent status to my management this was reduced to monthly goals and the task count was reduced by a lot. The team above me knew I had more details and could ask at any time to see it. Very common occurrence early in career, seldom happened near end. Near end it was driven manly by other departments spending big $ and wanting to make sure no one was out of line with each other. Examples big Marketing campaign with high front end cost. Major tooling and space needed for manufacturing.
 
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