I have updated the Lynas Price Calculator with more conservative forward projections in line with:
- potential delays in production
- lower industry P/E ratios
- lower forward price projections relative to current prices
Even with the more conservative projections including:
- no production in Q1 and Q2
- 50% production in Q3
- 100% production in Q4
I still end up with a share price of $5.19 based on 2011/12 production
Of course the whole Lynas world revolves around approval to proceed.
Whilst i am positive with regard to future price potential I personally only have 25% of my original holding in at the moment - with cash ready to go.
Must say it worries me a tad where some have 100% of their holdings already in. When it goes either way it will change price rapidly, but IMO, the vertical rise will be catchable whereas a vertical fall will be far more severe and difficult to deal with. I think it will be approved but with a few caveats and delays.
Bottom Line: if approved the earning potential will make this a very healthy stock to hold for at least the next 2 years. The calculator is provided as a "guide" reflecting my projections BUT you must do your own research AND manage your risk
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Last
$6.06 |
Change
0.040(0.66%) |
Mkt cap ! $5.664B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$5.80 | $6.06 | $5.76 | $50.03M | 8.403M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 3840 | $6.03 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$6.07 | 39097 | 4 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
2 | 3840 | 6.030 |
3 | 47028 | 6.010 |
2 | 34269 | 6.000 |
2 | 25842 | 5.990 |
1 | 200 | 5.950 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
6.070 | 39097 | 4 |
6.080 | 29682 | 3 |
6.090 | 29984 | 3 |
6.100 | 28477 | 10 |
6.110 | 3000 | 1 |
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