I have updated the Lynas Price Calculator with more conservative forward projections in line with:
- potential delays in production
- lower industry P/E ratios
- lower forward price projections relative to current prices
Even with the more conservative projections including:
- no production in Q1 and Q2
- 50% production in Q3
- 100% production in Q4
I still end up with a share price of $5.19 based on 2011/12 production
Of course the whole Lynas world revolves around approval to proceed.
Whilst i am positive with regard to future price potential I personally only have 25% of my original holding in at the moment - with cash ready to go.
Must say it worries me a tad where some have 100% of their holdings already in. When it goes either way it will change price rapidly, but IMO, the vertical rise will be catchable whereas a vertical fall will be far more severe and difficult to deal with. I think it will be approved but with a few caveats and delays.
Bottom Line: if approved the earning potential will make this a very healthy stock to hold for at least the next 2 years. The calculator is provided as a "guide" reflecting my projections BUT you must do your own research AND manage your risk
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$7.51 |
Change
-0.205(2.66%) |
Mkt cap ! $7.038B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$7.65 | $7.65 | $7.50 | $2.072M | 274.5K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
21 | 9004 | $7.50 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$7.51 | 5183 | 14 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
21 | 9031 | 7.500 |
12 | 7267 | 7.490 |
13 | 20990 | 7.480 |
9 | 10343 | 7.470 |
10 | 34901 | 7.460 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
7.510 | 2121 | 7 |
7.520 | 10912 | 22 |
7.530 | 6904 | 12 |
7.540 | 10720 | 10 |
7.550 | 8615 | 6 |
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