KAR 0.28% $1.81 karoon energy ltd

valuation on Karoon:-2023 production will be...

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    valuation on Karoon:-

    2023 production will be 30,000/bbls/day.
    It’s profitability at $100/bbl is:-
    royalty 10% =. $10/bbl
    production costs $15/bbl
    other costs. $5/bbl

    pre tax profit. US $70/bbl

    this equates to pre tax profit of US$740m pa or A$1,060m or $1.92/sh. The company has no debt and US$200m cash on the balance sheet to cover CAPEX on the Bauna intervention and Patola expansion.

    Let’s put a conservative 3x pre tax multiple on this and we get to $5.76/sh. If oil pushes up to $115-130/bbl we push over $7/sh.

    IMO it’s super cheap here and at $2.7/sh, $3.7/sh or $4.70/sh. Once management executes on the expansion the stock will start to move up thru these prices.
 
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