MacB Price assumptions are (28/09/21):Fig 5 Spot prices are trading above our long-term assumptions, particularly palladium
Variable Long-term Spot Variance
Long Term Spot/diff%Nickel (US$/lb) 7.71 8.60 12%
Cobalt (US$/lb) 28.50 22.63 (21%)
Copper (US$/lb) 3.40 4.25 25%
Palladium (US$/oz) 1,000 1,964 96%
Platinum (US$/oz) 1,050 982 (6%)
Gold (US$/oz) 1,400 1,751 25%
A$/US$ (x) 0.70 0.73 4%
Source: Bloomberg, Macquarie Research, September 2021
Their CHN valuation is now $9.00.
Looks like their love affair is over: mining inventory has been decreased (despite the latest CHN ann disclosing extensions at depth) and a criticism that employee share issues cost more than estimated (MacB said that??).
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