Who is the expert?
EV vehicles will never be efficient as ICE.
- batteries needed to run vehicles even 100km before charging are enormously heavy
- electricity needed to run EV is no cleaner to produce than running a diesel engine
- due to past, present and future speed of innovation in ICE, battery tech will never catch up to ICE tech.
- Batteries for running EVs are incredibly inefficient
- lithium is combustible and huge risks of batteries overheating or bursting into fireball even at low speed collision
- there is absolutely no infrastructure to produce lithium, batteries, EV manufacturing plants, charging stations to support any meaningful EV market penetration.
- whole thing would be incredibly expensive and costs of running inefficient battery powered EVs for supposedly greener emissions is just a pipe dream.
- ICE will become so efficient that emissions will be almost 0. And low costs of running and operating will mean huge investment in inefficient and expensive EVs will never happen.
- governments can't afford to hand out EV subsidies for ever, manufacturers can't keep losing $10-20,000 per $30,000 EV as it is ATM.
The only market for EV's is boutique $50,000+ market. For those who can afford to show of they "I want to save environment" toy.
But here we are, 3 years into the future!
-"Nobody will want to use mobile phone but business proffessionals, who wants to be disturbed all the time". AT&T CEO and other experts
- PC will only be niche market, average person will never have a need for personal computer
- internet will be usefull for military applications, maybe some business or hospital use. There is not much public applications it can be used for.
Not that all those experts have got it wrong individually, but everyone has mobile PC in their pocket thats always connected to the internet.
Who seen that one coming?
Only Star Trek nerds, not the experts.
I wouldn't be to eager to dismiss any tech, no matter how unlikely to be usefull it might look right now!
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