According to this article it won't be until 2023 that US shale oil ( responsible for over 70% of total output) totally recovers. However the scenarios within the article make it fairly unlikely.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-global-oil-usa-shale-insight/bounceback-in-us-shale-oil-output-is-unlikely-to-last-the-summer-idUSKCN24O0EZ
Make them pay!, page-259
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