Berkeley Earth: 2024 Likely Hottest Year On Record
publication of yet more analysis on global temperatures in June continue to emerge with the latest issued overnight by Berkeley Earth.
some of climate science's best and brightest work on these analyses, which are driven by observed data and other evidence.
when the Muppets of Denial of anthropogenic global warming and the climate changes it brings post their misinformed opinions on HC and other publications they're actually denying this data and evidence exists.
writing in the Dunning-Kruger national park, these deniers don't even know how silly they sound and worse still, don't care, such is their delusion.
that these folk have signed onto denial antiscience and pseudoscience means they don't have a leg to stand on.
BERKELEY EARTH Excerpts from June 2024 analysis below.
Outlook for the Remainder of 2024
"With six months completed, 2024 will likely be the warmest year since instrumental measurements began, moderately exceeding the record set in 2023.
"The first six months of 2024 started with large anomalies, though this is expected to cool somewhat during the latter part of 2024.
"While beginning with consistent record warmth, whether 2024 becomes the warmest year on record will depend on if it can maintain enough warmth during the next six months to exceed the record annual average set in 2023.
"However, it is typically true that the second year after an El Niño emerges is warmer than the first, though that is not guaranteed.
"The statistical approach that we use, looking at conditions in recent months, now believes that 2024 has a 92% chance of being warmer than 2023, making this outcome likely. This is up from a 60% chance in our January 2024 Temperature Update.
"The ultimate outcome will depend on the possible switch to La Niña late in 2024, and variation in other regions. However, it is very unlikely that 2024 will be any colder than the second warmest year overall. Estimated Probability of 2024 Annual Average final rankings:1st – 92%2nd – 8%3rd or lower – <1%"
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"Berkeley Earth is a California-based 501c3 non-profit research organization renowned for its commitment to independent climate science and analysis. Founded in 2013, the organization has led the development and application of AI and advanced statistical methods to the analysis of environmental data. Berkeley Earth's approach to climate science combines rigorous data analysis with a transparent methodology, providing clear and unbiased information about global temperature changes and their implications. Referenced by the UN IPCC and contributing regularly to leading climate journalism, Berkeley Earth plays a crucial role in informing public understanding and policymaking on global temperature trends. "
