3. Production and AISCSome pretty wild swings at the lower end...

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    3. Production and AISC

    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3139/3139587-506a29ecc97e020b47e741ad6c367067.jpg
    • Some pretty wild swings at the lower end of the production scale (DCN, RED, WMX (BLK) and TRY).
    • Kudos to GCY and ALK for what appears to be a really strong performance. For GCY it appears to be confirmation of the improvement shown in Dec-20 quarter (A$1,100 AISC). For ALK it appears to show a return to the 2018 / 2019 range.
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3139/3139597-54173a027fd74d37e942bf3bf19e8ae4.jpg
    • NCM benefited from a record low AISC at Cadia (- A$206; after accounting for copper sales).

    4. Production and Margin
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3139/3139600-5ac99ccf4dc0e9ea51dbfab78fc951d7.jpg
    • Pretty clear to see the benefits of low AISC (NCM, GCY and ALK), but also limited hedging (see chart below; e.g. WAF).
    • NCM's 512k oz production, A$1,148 AISC, average sell price of A$2,256 (and resultant margin of A$1,108 per oz) must have produced a staggering financial result, unfortunately their excellent interactive investor relations only has financial results at the half-yearly level.

    5. Cash and Net Cash
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3139/3139620-7061bc7c96c56f9b3788367d9d010c62.jpg


    • SLR still the leader of the pack on this front - but there's a growing sense that they need to do something constructive with it!
    • RRL and RMS also going strong (with no debt).
    • WAF are quickly eating away at their debt (forecasting to be debt free by the end of 2021).

    6. Hedging
    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/3139/3139621-70bf93bf1c5c838d2ee3babaf8290704.jpg
    • Usual caveat - I don't believe that there is a good or bad position re. hedging. It is what it is, and the hedge v. market position will determine whether it helps an organisation's result (e.g. WMX / BLK's hedge at A$2,674 meant it had the highest average sales price in the quarter), or it doesn't (RRL's hedge at A$1,621 meant it had the lowest average sales price in the quarter (A$2,014)).
    • RRL has almost 400% of Mar-21 production in their hedge book at an average price of A$1,621.

    As noted in the intro - I am really keen to get some constructive conversation going re. the quarter. I have a stack of other data available if anyone has any queries. And as always, please do flag any errors, etc.

    Disclosure: I hold the following stocks relevant to this thread: BGL, CMM, DEG, GOR, NST, SBM, SLR and WAF.
 
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