Add in the value of Fenix + other listed investments and we are talking close to $520m of cash + liquid assets vs a current market cap of $650m in a couple of months time.
At current $650m market cap, this implies a $130m residual value of business for an enterprise currently generating $350m to $400m of annual pre-tax cash flows. Even if only another approx. 4 years of mine life, this is still highly undervalued.
Quick NPV calculation on the value of mine at 4 years mine life and $250m annual post tax cash flows at a 10% discount rate = $870m.
Current value gap for the residual mining business between Mr Market ay $130m and NPV @ $870m is $740m or +$0.61 cents per share over and above the current share price - so implies a "fair value" of $1.15 per share.
I am not saying that this is definitely going to $1.15, but just highlighting the valuation gap and the potential for a significant re-rate in time.
This excludes the optionality that exists with MGX investing some of the cash into other emerging resource assets where the cash injection creates value (eg a promising asset with a strong NPV but an owner without the resources to develop and so MGX able to cheaply invest). Achieving an accretive outcome through such investment requires a disciplined approach by MGX, but the MGX team are proven operators and so would be attractive partners to a resources minnow with a good asset put together by some Geo's but no cash to develop plus inexperience in mining operations.
- Forums
- ASX - By Stock
- March quarter predictions
Add in the value of Fenix + other listed investments and we are...
-
- There are more pages in this discussion • 117 more messages in this thread...
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Featured News
Add MGX (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
|
|||||
Last
30.0¢ |
Change
0.000(0.00%) |
Mkt cap ! $365.5M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
30.0¢ | 31.0¢ | 30.0¢ | $511.5K | 1.696M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
4 | 108429 | 30.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
30.5¢ | 100000 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
3 | 94990 | 0.300 |
2 | 101391 | 0.295 |
8 | 72544 | 0.290 |
4 | 199263 | 0.285 |
6 | 192752 | 0.280 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.305 | 100000 | 1 |
0.310 | 148385 | 4 |
0.315 | 97206 | 5 |
0.320 | 307050 | 4 |
0.325 | 155300 | 5 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 20/09/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
Featured News
MGX (ASX) Chart |