BAL 0.00% $13.23 bellamy's australia limited

Market overreaction

  1. 6,340 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 250
    The announcement in a nutshell:

    - First half sales forecast fell from $120m to $115-$120m.

    - Full year sales expectations from $240m down to $220-240m
    (Analysts forecasted ~$360m)

    - Margins down from 45.7% to 39-40% in the first half, 32-34% in the second half.

    - EBIT down from $54m to $22-$26m

    - New acting CEO.

    Right now Bellamy is worth 1/3 of the $1.5bn seen not too long ago.

    Is BAL oversold?
    IMO Yes

    I personally love when a market panics like this, as it allows me to enter into the stock at a crazy price. An open of $3.85 was just insane.
    I traded for 20% gain and I also have a mid-sized parcel on close. The stock looks too good at this price when you remove all personal and market emotion and just look at the facts.
 
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Currently unlisted public company.

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