Smilez,
Thanks, I've done some back of a beer mat calcs.
I've had a look this morning at the SCE report, and have discovered that ADO is targeting a $600m market.
As to how much they capture from this is anybody's guess. However with so many competitors, would 20% pa be a fair take?
So we are talking about possible earnings from licensing agreements of about $120m pa.
Stripping out overheads of lets say $20m pa, that leaves net earnings of $100m pa.
With 762m shares on issue, that gives a potential future EPS of $0.13.
On a P/E of lets say 50, the potential share price could be $6.56 (FX 1:1 AUD/USD).
That is potentially 93x the current share price!
I am guessing that it would take a good few years for ADO to attain this due to red tape in the bio tech sector - 3-5 years perhaps?
Still it is not a bad targeted return.
Are there any major changes that I should make to the above or any other thoughts?
Thanks
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