That equation is worked out with 500bopd.
What if we have 1000bopd or more.
You are not factoring in what a commercial well means in this basin to CTP. Future possibilities. Unlocking the basin. Do it again and again. Once you do it, you know it can be done again.
If surprise flows 500+bopd, then this will easily hit the 20c + mark. There will be excitement and depending on various factors, a retrace. Who knows though.
If they unlock this basin and it is a success then I don't think people would need to rush to get out. Long term suffering holders will want to and most probably will but things will probably go from good to great.
Here's hoping. Sick of working, sick of having to work. Maybe if I don't have to I won't mind it as much. Ha, prove me right CTP
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