pgrades US stocks but calls for investors to adopt ‘nuanced’ approach

The shortened Thanksgiving holiday week looks to be off to a good start on the markets

By

Callum Keown

Monday November 23, 2020 3:33 pm

• 
  
• 
  
• 
  
• 
  

Positive vaccine developments are giving stocks a shot in the arm for the third straight Monday.

This time it’s the AstraZeneca and University of Oxford vaccine candidate, which has been found to be up to 90% effective in preventing Covid-19 infections, according to data from late-stage trials. The vaccine was 70% effective overall but 90% effective when people were given a half dose first and then a full dose, as opposed to two full doses, the university said.

With a lower efficacy rate than Pfizer and Moderna’s rival efforts, the British drugmaker’s shares fell on 23 November. But the experimental vaccine’s more convenient temperature storage requirements and mass manufacturing in multiple countries produced widespread positive sentiment across markets.

The shortened Thanksgiving holiday week looks to be off to a good start, but investors will be closely watching a flurry of US economic data on 25 November, as well as the surging Covid-19 cases.

BlackRock upgraded US equities to overweight but called for a “nuanced approach”, given the tough winter ahead before vaccine deployment potentially rides to the rescue in 2021.

The fund manager’s strategists recommended a “barbell” strategy, favouring quality large-cap stocks riding structural growth trends, such as technological dominance and sustainable assets, as well as smaller companies geared to a potential cyclical upswing.

The challenging months ahead in the US and Europe supported the case for large-cap tech and health-care companies to further outperform, they said. However, prospects for an accelerated economic restart in 2021 — amid positive vaccine developments — favoured more cyclical exposures, the strategists added.

“Should investors stick to quality — a perennial recent winner — or rotate into beaten down cyclical exposures?” asked BlackRock global chief investment strategist Mike Pyle.

“We believe this is not an ‘either/or’ question — and advocate a more nuanced approach…quality companies that should outperform even if fiscal support disappoints; and selected cyclical exposures that are likely to thrive as the timeline for widespread vaccine deployment advances,” he added.

This balanced approach would give investors greater portfolio resilience, the strategists said, as uncertainty around vaccine deployment and further pandemic relief remains high. The upgrade to US equities and its higher share of quality companies was how the strategists opted to gain exposure to structural growth, they noted.

BlackRock strategists were more selective when it comes to cyclical exposures, tilting toward mid and small-cap US companies, emerging market equities and Asian ex-Japan stocks. But they downgraded European stocks to underweight, given Europe’s high exposure to financials, set to be pressured by low rates.

After booking a 0.7% loss last week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was set to open higher on Monday. Dow futures were 0.6% up, implying a 170-point gain at the open, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures also pointed higher.

European stocks rose in early trading, as vaccine optimism continued to sweep across the continent, with the Stoxx 600 index o.1% up and the German DAX 0.5% higher.

The head of the US effort to produce a coronavirus vaccine says the first immunisations could happen on 12 December. A Food and Drug Administration advisory committee is set to meet on 10 December to discuss Pfizer’s request for an emergency-use authorization for its developing Covid-19 vaccine.

US health officials on Saturday agreed to allow emergency use of a second antibody drug to help the immune system fight Covid-19, biotech Regeneron’s antibody cocktail that President Donald Trump was given last month.

Schrödinger shares jumped 6.5% in premarket trading Monday as it announced a drug discovery agreement with Bristol Myers Squibb that could net it up to $2.7bn in milestone payments and royalties.

US drugmaker Merck announced a deal to buy Covid-19 treatment developer Oncolmmune for an upfront payment of $425m in cash.

President-elect Joe Biden is set to name Antony Blinken as his nominee for secretary of state, Bloomberg News first reported on Sunday night.

UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson said England will return to strict regional measures after the national lockdown ends on 2 December. The four nations of the UK are also working on a plan to allow a number of households to meet over Christmas.