Always appreciate your thoughts
@willchang409.
There is certainly a large opportunity here.
We have the benefit of having 2 of the 5 pilot demonstration projects being considered by government officials, and one of the largest state-owned enterprises in Zhejiang Energy Group/Tiandi supporting the construction and marketing of MABR technology. However, in the excitement following your posts, it looked like some were starting to forecast the possibility of winning 100% of the projects, and I thought it prudent to re-align expectations by looking at some business realities that could factor into the win-rate being much lower.
Having around half the sewage treatment terminals as "micro-powered" strikes me as being sub 30 m3/d. I imagine this to be more suitable for one of the competing technologies.
By the end of 2018, a total of 131 townships (streets) and 1,727 administrative villages in Hangzhou had built rural domestic sewage treatment facilities, and 8,869 facilities were completed and put into operation (including 3,914 micro-powered terminal facilities), with total benefits.Where I do see the most opportunity is where you bring up the matter of tourist areas.
Being critical to the Zhejiang economy, scenic villages and villages with bed & breakfast facilities are being developed and promoted.
Where the village has a 3A, 4A or 5A designation, I believe will be more likely to use a MABR treatment, as it produces one of the highest grades of effluent vs power and land use. However, it also depends which treatment type best fits in with the overall look and feel of the village surrounds. The higher the designation of the village, the more likely it also is to experience high influx tourist periods, and require a sewage system able to handle higher loads, the same as the Baigou Village. Baigou Villge has a normal population around 3200 and average tourists during peak season is approx 4700, so the 600 m3/d MABR plant is looking after the sewage of around 8000 people, if it is the only plant in operation in the village. I think it is more likely that Baigou is using something higher spec like multiple L4 units, rather than multiple L1 units.
Following the boom in the villages in Zhejiang, the village scenic area has become a new hot vocabulary, and the village is the main carrier and important support for rural tourism. In 2017, the 14th Party Congress of Zhejiang Province proposed that in accordance with the concept and goal of building a provincial area into a large scenic spot, we should deepen the construction of beautiful villages, promote the “village of scenic spots”, and formulate the “Chengcun scenic spot in Zhejiang Province”. Five-Year Action Plan (2017-2021). To put it simply, in the five years from 2017 to 2021, Zhejiang will make 10,000 villages become A-level scenic spots, of which 1,000 villages will become 3A-level scenic spots.
According to the data of Zhejiang Tourism Bureau, since Zhejiang was identified as the national tourism demonstration province in August 2017, 19 cities and counties (cities, districts) have been included in the national tourism demonstration zone, only 2017. In the province, 2,236 A-level scenic villages and 285 3A-level scenic villages were established . At present, the exploration of global tourism in Zhejiang Province has entered the era of “village".
The Wancun scenic area is beneficial to the effective diversion of 5A and 4A scenic spots. Nowadays, China's tourism has become a kind of urgent need, but it is difficult to meet the huge domestic demand by relying on tourist attractions. As of the holidays, most of the 5A and 4A tourist attractions will be smashed, and many tourists think that tourism has become "spent for money." “I just want to find a quiet place to relax” and become a tourist demand for more and more domestic tourists. The rural tourism market is huge in scale and its drawbacks are increasingly prominent. The construction of Wancun scenic area can effectively improve the current status of rural tourism.
Village operations determine the vitality of rural landscapes. At present, the case of village scenic spots that have been successfully operated in Zhejiang Province is usually two cases. They have the same competent village secretary and village director as Anji Lujia Village, or have introduced a professional management team like Pujiang Xinguang Village. However, the commercial operation of the village scenic area operation, most villages and two committees are incompetent, need real professional team management, promote village landscape, and make up for rural tourism shortcomings.
As one of the carriers of tourism, B&B has developed rapidly in various tourist areas in Zhejiang in recent years. According to statistics, as of the end of 2017, the number of bed and breakfasts in Zhejiang Province has reached 16,233, and the total number of beds in the province has exceeded 150,000. In recent years, Zhejiang has carried out a series of active exploration and innovative practices around the development of the hotel. Through the continuous guidance of policies and regulations and the promotion of the level of the hotel, the Zhejiang B&B has been at the leading level in the country both in terms of quantity and quality. Hangzhou West Lake, Tonglu, Lin'an, Jiaxing Xitang, Wuzhen, Huzhou Moganshan, Changxing represented the B&B area . Through the instigation of the hotel, the beautiful countryside is transformed into a “beautiful economy”.There will also be more opportunities next year and beyond.In the next two years, 3,283 problem facilities and 3,348 unpowered facilities in the processing terminal of the rural sewage treatment facilities in Hangzhou will be included in the transformation.
This link shows the other pilot project in Huanxi Village - I think there may actually be 2 separate pilots located there.
Plus states that in Tonglu County alone in the next 2 years there will be 1420 sites broken up as follows:40 facilities, upgraded and renovated
The pilot project of upgrading and reforming is based on the construction of technical demonstration sites, and promotes the three characteristic industrial belts of the Tonglu rural revitalization (slow life poetry and painting landscape belt, Jiangnan ancient folk custom belt, water-separated ecological health belt) and some individualized points for pilot promotion. Strive to establish an advanced model for the city's rural sewage treatment work, play a leading role.
MABR Opportunity580 facilities, key renovation
According to the census results of the operation of the facility, it is planned to complete the upgrading and upgrading of 297 facilities in 2019. In 2020, 283 facilities will be upgraded and upgraded, and the existing facilities will be upgraded, newly built, integrated or managed.
MABR Opportunity800 facilities, renovation and renovation
For terminals that are located in remote mountainous areas, with a small population or no obvious problems in operation, the plan is to be retrofitted, including pipe network renovation, biological treatment tank silt cleaning, wetland filling renovation, and terminal peripheral renovation. It is planned to complete the upgrading and upgrading of 383 facilities in 2019 and complete 417 facilities renovation in 2020.Unlikely to be MABR opportunityWhat should also be interesting is what happens in wider Zhejiang, this plan we are discussing is only for rural areas associated with Hangzhou.
(20min delay)