I had some spare time today. So, decided to pull some statistical data from Chinese customs website (Home - GACC (customs.gov.cn)).Here is data on import of IF into China from NZ for the last 18 months. Keep in mind it's not a2 specific but rather whole NZ import. I think it correlates quite closely with what @werdplaya58 provided above just shifted by one month which makes sense and I must say I do not see anything in this data that will make me worry. The interesting part is price per kg is very stable and in US$
Date of data Commodity code Commodity Trading partner code Trading partner Quantity Unit US dollar Quarter $ HY Quantity PPK 1 2020.01 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 3,689,252 Kilogram $69,524,649 $18.85 2 2020.02 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 5,235,028 Kilogram $107,583,282 $20.55 3 2020.03 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 5,149,917 Kilogram $91,540,730 $268,648,661.00 $17.78 4 2020.04 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 8,666,190 Kilogram $156,773,814 $18.09 5 2020.05 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 6,746,246 Kilogram $133,119,007 $19.73 6 2020.06 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 5,291,778 Kilogram $82,127,699 $372,020,520.00 34,778,411 $15.52 7 2020.07 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 5,799,275 Kilogram $93,092,866 $16.05 8 2020.08 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 5,792,578 Kilogram $99,049,256 $17.10 9 2020.09 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 6,112,319 Kilogram $118,614,310 $310,756,432.00 $19.41 10 2020.10 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 4,590,874 Kilogram $79,769,534 $17.38 11 2020.11 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 6,782,597 Kilogram $128,131,078 $18.89 12 2020.12 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 8,513,374 Kilogram $150,268,186 $358,168,798.00 37,591,017 $17.65 13 2021.01 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 5,460,777 Kilogram $110,421,995 $20.22 14 2021.02 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 2,932,922 Kilogram $61,154,753 $20.85 15 2021.03 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 7,147,693 Kilogram $135,745,772 $307,322,520.00 $18.99 16 2021.04 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 3,712,082 Kilogram $68,226,080 $18.38 17 2021.05 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 5,400,456 Kilogram $104,967,864 $19.44 18 2021.06 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 5,868,153 Kilogram $110,784,520 $283,978,464.00 30,522,083 $18.88
Here the same data as charts
Here is the same stuff but for AU
Date of data Commodity code Commodity Trading partner code Trading partner Quantity Unit US dollar Quarter $ HY Quantity PPK 1 2020.01 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 601 Australia 588,027 Kilogram $10,819,084 $18.40 2 2020.02 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 601 Australia 1,060,762 Kilogram $18,906,940 $17.82 3 2020.03 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 601 Australia 690,465 Kilogram $14,950,588 $44,676,612 $21.65 4 2020.04 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 601 Australia 976,986 Kilogram $20,481,830 $20.96 5 2020.05 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 601 Australia 1,317,420 Kilogram $25,984,417 $19.72 6 2020.06 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 601 Australia 1,175,026 Kilogram $23,168,414 $69,634,661 5,808,686 $19.72 7 2020.07 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 601 Australia 1,150,864 Kilogram $23,416,079 $20.35 8 2020.08 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 601 Australia 727,696 Kilogram $12,925,286 $17.76 9 2020.09 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 601 Australia 883,650 Kilogram $15,783,234 $52,124,599 $17.86 10 2020.10 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 601 Australia 1,079,600 Kilogram $22,866,277 $21.18 11 2020.11 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 601 Australia 966,145 Kilogram $19,038,300 $19.71 12 2020.12 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 601 Australia 595,419 Kilogram $13,032,391 $54,936,968 5,403,374 $21.89 13 2021.01 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 601 Australia 340,771 Kilogram $7,198,352 $21.12 14 2021.02 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 601 Australia 602,740 Kilogram $13,192,597 $21.89 15 2021.03 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 601 Australia 625,931 Kilogram $11,316,026 $31,706,975 $18.08 16 2021.04 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 601 Australia 613,927 Kilogram $13,370,030 $21.78 17 2021.05 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 601 Australia 828,153 Kilogram $16,261,078 $19.64 18 2021.06 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 601 Australia 877,241 Kilogram $18,643,607 $48,274,715 3,888,763 $21.25
Add here is data for NZ for the last 30 months separated by different customs regimes. I might be wrong, but I presume "Ordinary Trade" applies to products like a2 China label that sold in retail stores and "Customs Warehousing Trade" and "Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area" applies to CBEC trade but it's just my guess
Date of data Commodity code Commodity Trading partner code Trading partner Customs Regime code Customs Regime Quantity Unit US dollar Customs Regime code Customs Regime Quantity Unit US dollar Customs Regime code Customs Regime Quantity Unit US dollar1 2019.01 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 4,945,656 Kilogram $80,657,946 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 43,892 Kilogram $598,946 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 381,959 Kilogram $7,852,3942 2019.02 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 2,550,687 Kilogram $45,438,139 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 24,564 Kilogram $343,113 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 335,243 Kilogram $5,408,0363 2019.03 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 5,869,042 Kilogram $98,536,011 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 88,560 Kilogram $893,946 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 1,103,770 Kilogram $25,029,6684 2019.04 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 5,767,246 Kilogram $84,859,925 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 126,652 Kilogram $1,436,561 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 755,271 Kilogram $15,352,9505 2019.05 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 6,224,592 Kilogram $111,056,909 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 129,189 Kilogram $1,575,040 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 579,038 Kilogram $12,059,5086 2019.06 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 7,393,971 Kilogram $132,620,431 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 115,101 Kilogram $1,101,386 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 276,954 Kilogram $3,058,2437 2019.07 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 4,926,564 Kilogram $92,780,42833 Customs Warehousing Trade 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 510,996 Kilogram $9,744,1428 2019.08 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 4,479,237 Kilogram $72,228,269 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 19,391 Kilogram $231,789 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 786,878 Kilogram $12,045,3729 2019.09 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 5,229,248 Kilogram $85,490,171 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 91,161 Kilogram $1,220,381 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 744,418 Kilogram $17,597,47110 2019.10 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 5,397,375 Kilogram $100,829,570 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 95,068 Kilogram $874,696 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 507,092 Kilogram $12,540,06111 2019.11 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 3,969,559 Kilogram $68,600,792 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 23,040 Kilogram $300,116 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 926,701 Kilogram $22,285,53012 2019.12 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 4,374,001 Kilogram $71,003,540 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 54,615 Kilogram $513,896 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 703,060 Kilogram $17,860,09513 2020.01 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 3,096,536 Kilogram $53,672,01033 Customs Warehousing Trade 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 592,716 Kilogram $15,852,63914 2020.02 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 3,835,804 Kilogram $71,023,971 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 91,411 Kilogram $1,096,352 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 1,307,813 Kilogram $35,462,95915 2020.03 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 4,302,027 Kilogram $71,934,30033 Customs Warehousing Trade 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 847,890 Kilogram $19,606,43016 2020.04 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 6,693,250 Kilogram $111,303,851 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 67,920 Kilogram $800,588 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 1,905,020 Kilogram $44,669,37517 2020.05 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 5,845,035 Kilogram $112,664,414 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 80,011 Kilogram $888,291 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 821,200 Kilogram $19,566,30218 2020.06 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 4,585,045 Kilogram $67,191,044 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 47,628 Kilogram $445,550 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 659,105 Kilogram $14,491,10519 2020.07 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 4,977,101 Kilogram $75,834,216 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 46,360 Kilogram $448,686 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 775,814 Kilogram $16,809,96420 2020.08 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 4,509,376 Kilogram $73,213,030 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 80,640 Kilogram $857,943 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 1,202,562 Kilogram $24,978,28321 2020.09 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 4,719,277 Kilogram $87,710,82033 Customs Warehousing Trade 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 1,393,042 Kilogram $30,903,49022 2020.10 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 4,091,995 Kilogram $70,010,589 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 54,783 Kilogram $512,581 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 444,096 Kilogram $9,246,36423 2020.11 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 5,059,805 Kilogram $87,258,132 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 280,414 Kilogram $3,880,232 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 1,442,378 Kilogram $36,992,71424 2020.12 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 5,230,400 Kilogram $80,037,092 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 652,306 Kilogram $8,822,705 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 2,630,668 Kilogram $61,408,38925 2021.01 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 3,825,821 Kilogram $71,394,515 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 152,883 Kilogram $2,699,121 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 1,482,073 Kilogram $36,328,35926 2021.02 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 1,825,219 Kilogram $33,996,508 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 44,113 Kilogram $409,266 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 1,063,590 Kilogram $26,748,97927 2021.03 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 5,291,635 Kilogram $93,330,757 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 228,403 Kilogram $3,631,820 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 1,627,655 Kilogram $38,783,19528 2021.04 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 3,004,460 Kilogram $53,150,064 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 211,843 Kilogram $3,313,386 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 495,779 Kilogram $11,762,63029 2021.05 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 3,991,664 Kilogram $73,484,715 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 242,702 Kilogram $3,709,661 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 1,166,090 Kilogram $27,773,48830 2021.06 19011010 Powdered formulas for infant use in retail package, containing cocoa <5% 609 New Zealand 10 Ordinary Trade 4,720,671 Kilogram $84,475,719 33 Customs Warehousing Trade 201,730 Kilogram $2,768,607 34 Entrepot Trade by Bonded Area 945,434 Kilogram $23,531,659
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