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    I am not an oracle. I can tell you that the market cycles have been, since the greation of Fed anyway, largely central bank made. From this perspective, bear markets tend to almost overlap with the easing cycles of central banks (and not the other way around!). Of course, there is always this question in the air if it will be different this time. Central banks have been manipulating with the markets for many decades. The excessive manipulation and market intervention really started gathering momentum in early 2000's, went nuts in 2008, and went absolutely berserk in 2020-2021. So, now the question is have they created a Frankensteinian monster that can no longer be tamed with the old tools and methods?

    So, to answer your question in short: I don't know when the bear market will end, but I do know when I see a speculative stock that is ridiculously bloated.
    Last edited by kokoro: 10/10/22
 
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