MFG magellan financial group limited

which is better way to value something?on the basis of 10 years...

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    which is better way to value something?
    on the basis of 10 years of past performance or one or two misfires?
    Basically, 8 wins out of 11 years or 3 years of bad performance
    8/11 = 73% vs 3/11 = 27%
    think cricket and Steve smith getting a 50.
    Steve smith gets 50 ... 73% of the time and he misses out 27% of the time.
    would you put him in your team or leave him out?
 
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