MFG 2.63% $9.25 magellan financial group limited

Hah! You had me in stitches. My wife actually came up to ask...

  1. 724 Posts.
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    Hah! You had me in stitches. My wife actually came up to ask what I was laughing about. I told her I just bought into falling-knife Magellan, and she wasn't impressed. She urinated on me, and walked off. Not so different to Tassals, to be fair.
    Hit me up on Twittter if you're there.

    @Chella They're pretty wide valuations, and I think that reflects the range of potential outcomes here. I find it really hard to guage what an appropriate PE ratio for Magellan should be: if it declines, it'll drop to 10-12 probably; if it grows <5%, it may be around 12-15 in normal periods; if it can grow at 5% and meet their 9% target, then 18-20 is reasonable. But I think the argument that based on forecast FY22 PE is ~15 makes it cheap, hmm not sure that washes with me. I like to think of this as one of those Peter Lynch 'stalwarts', and hopefully you're getting a quality business.

    Also the current dividend yield is fixed at the time you buy the stock. If the share prices rushes to $40, $50 or more tomorrow.. I still get my 6.4% I locked in today. Hopefully, they grow their dividend. And if they grow that dividend at 3.6% p/a, I'll get my 10% IRR. Again, not a very high hurdle. Though, that's how it always starts with value traps...

 
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Last
$9.25
Change
-0.250(2.63%)
Mkt cap ! $1.671B
Open High Low Value Volume
$9.42 $9.43 $9.25 $6.960M 746.2K

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
4 5976 $9.24
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
$9.25 357 1
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Last trade - 16.10pm 08/07/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
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