Analysis is in. gla. Same rules as before question marks or asterix treated as NAs, hence didn't pick up SPlassa double entry as one was NAs.
Pre PFS Median
0.084
Post PFS Median
0.13
Date Median
2021-06-23
I reported on median this time as they are probably a better statistic in The Game than means as the median reflects most frequent choice of participants.
Still one entry with post PFS at $1 so I removed it from the analysis, though I have reproduced that graph, corrected graph below.
Fitted a linear model
As you can see the linear model explains about 61% of the variation with a very strong positive correlation of 0.78, indicating that most entrants have factored in an increase in the Post PFS sp over Pre PFS sp (well der Fred, lol). The linear model is highly statistically significant.
Model residuals are well behaved.
Count frequencies (Pre and Post PFS count frequencies normally distributed)
Pre PFS summary
Min. :0.06000 1st Qu.:0.07500 Median :0.08400 Mean :0.08559 3rd Qu.:0.09000 Max. :0.15000 NA's :9
Post PFS summary
Min. :0.0800 1st Qu.:0.1100 Median :0.1300 Mean :0.1406 3rd Qu.:0.1500 Max. :0.3000 NA's :6
Date Summary
Min. :2021-06-04 1st Qu.:2021-06-18 Median :2021-06-23 Mean :2021-06-22 3rd Qu.:2021-06-25 Max. :2021-07-01 NA's :7
gla with The Game
MGT PFS Predictor Game, page-233
-
- There are more pages in this discussion • 187 more messages in this thread...
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Featured News
Add MGT (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
|
|||||
Last
17.0¢ |
Change
0.000(0.00%) |
Mkt cap ! $19.60M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
17.0¢ | 17.0¢ | 17.0¢ | $33.25K | 195.6K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
6 | 91389 | 16.5¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
17.5¢ | 141000 | 2 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
6 | 91389 | 0.165 |
4 | 110000 | 0.160 |
2 | 15000 | 0.150 |
1 | 10000 | 0.145 |
1 | 20000 | 0.140 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.175 | 141000 | 2 |
0.180 | 120852 | 4 |
0.185 | 51679 | 3 |
0.195 | 8310 | 3 |
0.200 | 104706 | 2 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 18/10/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
Featured News
MGT (ASX) Chart |