Right you are mike Kaz is definitely oversold.It has a good...

  1. 47 Posts.
    Right you are mike Kaz is definitely oversold.

    It has a good profitable business which services the government, it certaintly isn't heading towards bankruptcy or being delisted.

    Look out for a come back especially since KAZ is a profitable going concern....dont be surprised if it doesn't hit above and over $1.10 in 2 or 3 months...afterall...the expected drop in FY02 forecast is only minimal:
    ASX-KAZ Computer Services LimitedClarification of Revised 2002 Financial Forecast

    KAZ GROUP LIMITED 2002-05-03 ASX-SIGNAL-G

    HOMEX - Sydney

    +++++++++++++++++++++++++
    ASX CORRECTION TO ANNOUNCEMENT PREVIOUSLY RELEASED 03/05/2002

    On Tuesday, April 30th, KAZ Group Limited ("KAZ" or the "Company")
    released a revised 2002 financial forecast. The Board of Directors of
    KAZ believes that further explanation of the revised forecast and the
    factors contributing to it will assist the market in properly
    understanding the short term impact of certain growth initiatives,
    the Aspect acquisition, weaker than expected trading conditions, and
    the underlying strength and growth of the business.

    Media reports suggest that sections of the market believe the profit
    clarification should have been made at an earlier date. A detailed
    response to such comments has been provided to the ASX, which shows
    that this was not the case. Included in this response was the fact
    that the Company has taken the view that significant prospects,
    representing around $8 million possible FY02 EBIT, would be deferred
    or not achieved.

    The estimated impact of the factors described in the earlier
    announcement on the Company's operating performance are set out in
    detail in the table below.
    REVISED/
    PREVIOUS UNDERLYING
    FY '02 $M FY '02 $M

    EBITDA 38.8 36.2

    Non recurring expense items
    Integration costs - 1.4
    PeopleSoft Implementation - 1.4
    Asian Initiative - 0.9
    New Data Centres - 0.6
    Total - 4.3


    EBITDA 38.8 40.5
    (Excluding non-recurring items)

    The revised 2002 forecast shows Earnings before Interest, Tax,
    Depreciation and Amortisation (EBITDA) of $36.2 million as compared
    to the previous forecast of $38.8 million. In the opinion of the
    Directors and other market commentators, EBITDA is a true indication
    of the underlying profitability of KAZ. The shortfall in KAZ EBITDA
    for the 2002 year as against forecast is the result of both normal
    recurring business items as well as once-off non-recurring items.
    The normal business items include continued flatness in IT
    discretionary spending by customers and slowness in decision making,
    costs associated with continuing growth initiatives and higher than
    expected project costs. The non-recurring items include acquisition
    and integration costs. A description of key items follows.

    RECURRING OPERATING EXPENSES

    Whilst there has not been any significant change in the underlying
    cost base of the Company certain initiatives were undertaken to
    ensure sound management of the growth experienced and forecast for
    the business. The additional cost of the Group Management structure
    in FY02 is estimated at $2 million. Costs associated with positioning
    the Company to pursue Tier 1 outsourcing opportunities in Government
    and large corporates is estimated at $0.8 million in FY02.

    NON-RECURRING OPERATING EXPENSE ITEMS

    The cost of the integration of Aspect Computing ("Aspect") through
    to June 2002 is estimated at $1.4 million. This includes estimates as
    to staffing costs, consultancy costs, marketing and certain
    structural costs.

    Mid 2001 the Company elected to purchase and roll-out a scaleable
    group-wide management system. This software will provide a standard
    across all KAZ Group businesses and replace the differing software
    utilised by acquired businesses. The system provides a management
    control platform which allows for growth of the company in the
    future. The estimated cost to EBITDA in FY02 is $1.4 million.

    The cost to EBITDA of new data centres in Adelaide and Perth in FY02
    is estimated at $0.6 million.

    Factors contributing to the variation in KAZ's Net Profit After Tax
    and Before Goodwill Amortisation from the previous forecast are
    summarised below:
    PREVIOUS REVISED
    FY '02 FY '02
    $M $M

    EBITDA 38.8 36.2

    Depreciation 2.7 4.4
    Amortisation
    Aspect Goodwill - 2.8
    Other Acquisition Goodwill 4.5 5.8
    Other Intangibles - 0.9
    Leases - 3.3*
    Total 7.2 17.2

    EBIT 31.6 19.0

    Interest expense/(income) (0.9) 1.0
    Tax 10.4 7.9
    NPAT 22.1 10.1
    Add back: goodwill amortisation 4.5 8.6
    NPAT Before Goodwill Amortisation 26.6 18.7

    * The Lease Amortisation charge included in the revised forecast is
    due to the refinancing of some leases from operating to finance
    leases. These were not anticipated in the previously announced
    forecast. This refinancing of leases was reflected in the half yearly
    financial results to December 2001 released on the 26th of February
    2002.

    Depreciation has increased as a direct result of Aspect depreciation,
    higher capital expenditure in growth initiatives, such as the fitout
    of the new AAS premises, implementation of the new group-wide
    business system, implementation of group-wide networks, as well as
    the establishment of new data centres.

    The increased Other Acquisition Goodwill is due to the recognition of
    actual and probable additional purchase consideration in relation to
    the acquisition of Australian Administration Services ("AAS") and the
    Fundi Software Group. These payments are earn-outs resulting from the
    over achievement of revenue and profit targets. At the time of the
    initial FY02 forecast these payments were contingent and immeasurable
    and as such no amortisation could be forecast. At the point in time
    when these payments become probable and reliably measurable they are
    brought to account and amortised from the date of acquisition. This
    can result in back charges relating to prior periods. The revised
    forecast includes $0.9 million and $0.4 million of recurring and
    non-recurring amortisation charges respectively in relation to the
    above acquisitions.

    The tax expense and the effective tax rate has increased primarily as
    a result of the higher Goodwill Amortisation which is non deductible.

    KAZ remains committed to its strategy to be a leading provider of
    information Technology Outsourcing (ITO) and Business Process
    Outsourcing (BPO) services. In the 2002 financial year KAZ invested
    considerable resources in putting in place the building blocks to
    achieve this strategy. Notwithstanding this considerable investment,
    KAZ is forecasting 78% revenue growth and 25% EBITDA growth over
    2001, continuing the company's 20 year history of profitable growth.


    For further information please contact:

    Mr Peter Kazacos
    MANAGING DIRECTOR
    KAZ Group Limited

    Phone: 612 9844 0300
    e-mail: [email protected]



 
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