MIN mineral resources limited

Just adding my two cents here:Mineral Resources is currently...

  1. 2 Posts.
    Just adding my two cents here:

    Mineral Resources is currently trading at an enterprise value of approximately $10 billion (comprising a $5 billion market cap and $5 billion in debt), supported by its 35Mtpa iron ore capacity. In comparison, Fortescue is valued at around $60 billion including debt, with a capacity of 200Mtpa.

    This puts MinRes’s valuation in line with FMG on a per-tonne basis:
    $60B FMG valuation / 200Mtpa FMG capacity × 35Mtpa MinRes capacity = ~$10.5B implied valuation


    In addition to iron ore, MinRes’s lithium assets—based on the valuation of PLS—could be worth around $1.5–2 billion, even though they are only breakeven at best.


    Historically, MinRes has traded at a ~20% premium to FMG due to its diversified exposure. However, the market is currently applying a forward discount: sentiment is weak on lithium recovery, there's concern about MinRes’s ability to deleverage, and uncertainty remains around achieving nameplate capacity at Onslow.


    If iron ore prices push back above $100/tonne, a re-rating could follow, potentially returning MinRes to its January highs around $35. Notably, there's a volume shelf at that level, reinforcing its significance.

    From a technical standpoint, the current price action resembles a Volatility Contraction Pattern —a break above the $27 level could trigger a fresh rally as it will form Higher Low Higher High formation leading to $34 which is also 50 week average.


    https://hotcopper.com.au/data/attachments/7060/7060050-33093b9aa3f46d569eb96a297ab241f3.jpg

 
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(20min delay)
Last
$23.45
Change
-0.450(1.88%)
Mkt cap ! $4.608B
Open High Low Value Volume
$23.52 $24.29 $22.95 $57.22M 2.424M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
3 5342 $23.45
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
$23.52 1725 2
View Market Depth
Last trade - 16.10pm 16/06/2025 (20 minute delay) ?
MIN (ASX) Chart
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