MIN mineral resources limited

I thought you'd all be interested in the sensitivity of MIn RES...

  1. 1,974 Posts.
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    I thought you'd all be interested in the sensitivity of MIn RES earnings to the Iron Ore price going up 1.3% on SGX to from 93.55 to 94.65.
    Basically it increases earning per tonne by $0.80, and total free cash flow generated over the next 3 years goes from 82% of equity value to 84% of equity value.
    I show the two tables below.

    MinRes Onslow estimated EBITDA per tonne Aus $ (mining + mining services)31.6
    Date sinceTotal daysRate shipped per day tonnesTotal transhipper unloadsTotal shipped (tonnes million)Rate per year(million tonnes)Free cash flowFY 26 Onslow(FOB AUD 58), $ m
    05-May-2553781132074.1428.5$902
    11-May-2547808511903.829.5$934
    20-May-2538826321573.1430.2$954
    01-Jun-2526923081202.433.7$1,066
    Current1498571691.3836.0$1,138














    Free cash flow (FCF) estimates (entire business)


    Fy 26Fy 27Fy 28Mkt cap $ m

    FCF $ m115013868654063

    Price/FCF3.52.94.7FCF % of mkt cap (Fy 26 to 28)




    84%








    Unloads by Transhipper since 5 May 2025

    Iron Ore price US$
    AirlieCoolibahMontebelloRosilyPeak
    $94.65
    4751475110.5
    Aud Usd






    0.655



    MinRes Onslow estimated EBITDA per tonne Aus $ (mining + mining services)30.8
    Date sinceTotal daysRate shipped per day tonnesTotal transhipper unloadsTotal shipped (tonnes million)Rate per year(million tonnes)Free cash flowFY 26 Onslow(FOB AUD 58), $ m
    05-May-2553781132074.1428.5$879
    11-May-2547808511903.829.5$910
    20-May-2538826321573.1430.2$930
    01-Jun-2526923081202.433.7$1,039
    Current1498571691.3836.0$1,110














    Free cash flow (FCF) estimates (entire business)


    Fy 26Fy 27Fy 28Mkt cap $ m

    FCF $ m112413608464063

    Price/FCF3.63.04.8FCF % of mkt cap (Fy 26 to 28)




    82%








    Unloads by Transhipper since 5 May 2025

    Iron Ore price US$
    AirlieCoolibahMontebelloRosilyPeak
    $93.55
    4751475110.5
    Aud Usd






    0.655

 
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(20min delay)
Last
$38.43
Change
-0.650(1.66%)
Mkt cap ! $7.552B
Open High Low Value Volume
$38.92 $39.08 $37.66 $63.93M 1.670M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
1 91 $38.33
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
$38.43 1482 1
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Last trade - 16.10pm 17/09/2025 (20 minute delay) ?
MIN (ASX) Chart
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