NCM 0.00% $23.35 newcrest mining limited

"miner returns to healthy activity", page-19

  1. 23,171 Posts.
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    Lets look at forward fundamentals.

    If NCM can meet guidelines for FY 2012-13 as the company has re-confirmed
    then it will have to produce 1.3 mil ozs for H2 to June 2013.

    Now let us annualise this going forward; thats 2.6 million ozs P/A.

    To achieve $2 EPS NCM will have to have $1.53 billion NPAT or
    $588 NPAT/oz. ( 765 mil shares issued )

    Last year with poxy production due to breakdowns NCM's NPAT
    was $1.117 bln for 2.286 ozs AU produced or $487 NPAT/oz.

    We just need to improve NPAT/oz by $100 and produce as forecast
    and that the average POG stays up over $1609/oz (Last years average)
    and we're there . The market will price NCM to at least 16 P/E.
    This will give us a SP based on fundamentals (not short term technicals)
    of over $32.

    I'm a long term investor.

    To those gambling on short term direction, good luck.

    Cheers
    Moorookamick

 
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Currently unlisted public company.

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