I am not so sure these days about the strength of the link...

  1. 330 Posts.
    I am not so sure these days about the strength of the link between M1 (cash money, printed by bureaucrats) and the value of the economy (M1+M2+M3). Consider that company x, making stuff / doing services pays its employees electronically out of a value stream that is only partly physical and partly electronic - when was the last time u wrote a cheque / what proportion of your expenditure is cash based?

    Therefore 2 things.

    1. The link between orthodox fiscal / monetary policy may be weaker than in prior periods. Therefore aggregate decisions by individuals have greater weight than Govt's.

    2. The impact of inflation is / may be muted, depending on the gearing level of the private / small investor. I.e if gearing is high (esp credit cards and retail mortgage) then inflation is positive for economic resilience, esp if debts are income secured rather than asset secured.

    maybe?
 
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