Hans Von Storch an IPPC leader has found that there is only a 2% chance that models are correct.
Environment bureaucrats were most unhappy with the efforts of the scientists in the first draft of the SPM and requested over 1800 amendments. They split between those who demanded that the pause/standstill be tackled head-on to those (like Germany and Hungary) who wanted it to be totally ignored.
Those countries (like the USA) arguing for disclosure said that skeptics would have a field day with the pause/standstill if the issue is not nailed. But it is not only the skeptics:
Since January 2012, there have been 19 journal papers on climate sensitivity, all of which found that the IPCC estimate of 3°C is grossly overstated;
Since the IPCC cut-off date in February 2013, the leading warmist-leaning journal, Nature Climate Change, has published a string of papers which offer conflicting reasons for the pause;
Three leading IPCC figures have co-authored a paper showing that IPCC models have overstated warming by 100% over the last 20 years and by 400% over the last 15 years;
Other IPCC lead authors have argued that the 21st century pause is driven by the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) which lessens El Ninos and flipped to negative in about 2003. (They don’t spell out the obvious corollary that the 1990s warming was also due to the PDO).
