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1. CCL is good, if you also believe the indonesia story then...

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zhanginu

1,780 Posts.

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06/09/15

17:43

Post #: 15943928
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Originally posted by chadshare ↑

For what it is worth these are the current themes i am following:
1 Defensive local equities with high dividends (CCL, WOW, tls).
2. Caution with banks, not selling but not loading up. I anticipate a recession during which bad debts will rise and profitable and valuations will drop. Market factoring this in to some degree so not selling.
3 Get offshore before AUD drops further.
3.1 Equites. I like etfs for this. IEU is my favourite. QE ongoing will continue to inflate european equities. Still below peak before GFC. If QE ends then will drop though. That's very unlikely. Platinum asia LIC is a longterm play but may not do well short term.
3.2 Offshore earnings CSL, speculative one NAN.
4 Gold and Gold miners, but only the best. NST. NCM too much US denominated debt and doesnt benefit currency moves like NST with no debt.
5 CASH, the most important one to take advantage or corrections. I nimble away never go hard. No one can ever pick the bottom.

Just remember I am no expert or visionary. I was a peak oil follower and am still the sad owner of both awe and sto!

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1. CCL is good, if you also believe the indonesia story then over the long run i think we can get 25% of group earnings from indonesia; Not sure how defensive TLS is in a recession? would consumers still pay for premium mobile coverage/ super fast broadband ? or switch to lowest cost providers e.g. dodo & amaysim?
3. Why not QBE or CPU for rising US interest rates/USD?
4. Gold mining is a very capital intense/costly process, very poor history of generating shareholder value. Buy gold instead...

CCL Price at posting: $8.45 Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Held
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0 Great analysis

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