Patrickm
JP Morgan have run the DCF valuation at a basket price which is significantly lower than what it is today and derived a valuation of $2.17, including the use of an elevated discount rate to account for risk.
So price looks good at current price of $1.50.
Who knows reasons for Morgan Stanley selling. Maybe they are taking profits before the end of the year, maybe they felt they had too much exposure to Lynas- who knows.....?
Anyway- you are entitled to your own opinion. As you say HC is for people to express divergent views. I however tend to agree with JP Morgan's valuation over yours.
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lynas rare earths limited
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$10.27

morgan stanley - shareholding, page-9
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Last
$10.27 |
Change
0.255(2.55%) |
Mkt cap ! $9.363B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$10.18 | $10.34 | $10.15 | $15.56M | 1.519M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
18 | 6111 | $10.26 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$10.27 | 3378 | 4 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
3 | 870 | 10.260 |
20 | 10516 | 10.250 |
18 | 14496 | 10.240 |
13 | 8654 | 10.230 |
8 | 6519 | 10.220 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
10.270 | 1769 | 6 |
10.280 | 29070 | 12 |
10.290 | 6850 | 8 |
10.300 | 11467 | 12 |
10.310 | 6430 | 6 |
Last trade - 10.18am 16/07/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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Shanthar Pathmanathan, MD
Shanthar Pathmanathan
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