WTM 5.26% 27.0¢ waratah minerals limited

Morgans 26c price target, page-34

  1. 137 Posts.
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    Don't understand Morgans val.

    They're assuming share price without conversion off option holders.

    If you add back in the conversion before July this year at 325m shares @ 10c using their at risk val methodology, you get 1b shares outstanding and a valuation of 20.8c. Also doesn't include any other non-listed performance options etc and assumes no cash burn.
    Does anyone want to provide a comment? Still a good result, just think you're all pricing this wildly high.

    Obviously, as a holder I want to be proven wrong - Just trying to solve this in my head. Good result today.

    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5
    0   Exisiting Shares 763.5m    
    1   Options Converted before July 18 325.0m    
    2   Total 1,088.5m    
    3          
    4          
    5 Risked Valuation Before Val per Share @764m O/S Adjusted Risked Value After Val per Share @ 1.1b O/S
    6 83.9m   $ 0.11   83.9m   $   0.08
    7 37.7m   $ 0.05   37.7m   $   0.03
    8 10.0m   $ 0.01   10.0m   $   0.01
    9 50.0m   $ 0.07   50.0m   $   0.05
    10 (10.0m) -$ 0.01   (10.0m) -$ 0.01
    11 22.0m   $ 0.03 32.5m 54.5m   $   0.05
    12 Target pps $ 0.26     $ 0.208
 
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