I respect this post for the fact that you didn't get emotional and defensive but instead wrote a constructive post to try and counter some of the negative arguments. This helps both you and your fellow posters solidify some of the information in your mind.
In saying this I want to counter a lot of what you have said.
Let's start with the way people are interpreting AR. Every AR under each licencee will not be a client facing adviser. That is simply a fallacy. There will be many AR's who are just RG146 compliant paraplanners. What is the reason for this? Well there is a few but a couple of the important reasons are that it means:
1. Paraplanners can take an active participant role in client meetings (part of the learning process)
2. CFP designation which is seen as professional standard requires a number of years of being an AR (again part of the mentoring process for future pannners)
3. Something as simple as the fact it means a paraplanner can give incidental advice in response to client questions via phone or email when the planner is in a meeting or out of the office.
Let's call this proportion 10% of AR's. This then gives us 360 client facing planners for the sentry network. With $5bn FUM for Sentry this gives each planner an average FUM of $13,388,889.
Now most advisors will have passive/legacy money on their books, i.e clients they don't engage with on a regular basis and may not see for years at a time. Assume this is 20% of FUM (I suspect in big licencees this would be much higher). So we have 80% x $13,388,889 = $11.11m of active money per planner. Now the average $ under management per client is probably circa $300,000. So we then have 37 clients per planner. Let's call it 40.
On average you might do an SOA for 2/3rds of this active client base in any given year. So we will call this 27 SOA's.
Let's also assume that the business is also growing clients at a CAGR of 15% p.a. This means approx 6 new clients per year. Let's say in year one each of these clients receive 2 SOA's as strategies and products are being bedded down. This is another 12 SOA's per year. So we have 39 SOA's a year per adviser. Let's round that again to 40.
Now IAM are saying $250 cost for all back office work from start to finish of an SOA process which is more involved than just the advice doc hence more expensive that $110 inc GST.
So let's say 40 plans a year by 360 advisers by $250. I get $3.6m in revenue. Let's assume overheads are about 25% (probably generous). That means EBITDA of $2.7m. NPAT (based on small business tax of 28.5%) is $1.93m.
So you can see Sentry is not going to go even close to hitting M4. It just isn't realistic at all.
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