QBE 1.11% $17.31 qbe insurance group limited

mre commenting re currency 35 price target

  1. 1,201 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 12
    FROM MRE RE CURRENCY:

    Importantly, currency sensitivity was provided for the first time. A 1% change in the A$ relative to all currencies (sustained for 12 months) equates to a FY07 NPAT impact of ~$10m, or 0.5% based on MRE’s FY07 NPAT forecasts. This disclosure should alleviate any exaggerated fears regarding excessive adverse leverage to recent A$ strength. QBE also stated that subject to exchange rates, closing gross Funds Under Management (FUM) is expected to be ~$28bn by the end of FY07 and around $30bn by FY08.

    MRE reiterate their outperform recommendation and 12-month price target of $35.08.

    So if my math is correct even if theres an overall 10% move up in the currency, that would mean a 5% overall impact on earnings

    that would mean if AUD was around 90, there would only be a 5% inpact on EPS growth

    They said in AGM that they expect a 20% increase in FY07 NPAT and 15% increase in diluted EPS , and that was only last week and they obviously took into account that AUD would be a little higher when making these forecasts!

    thus the currency going to say avg 85 wont have really that much of an impact on NPAT/EPS; Even AUD/USD at 90 is only 5% give or take.
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add QBE (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
Last
$17.31
Change
0.190(1.11%)
Mkt cap ! $26.00B
Open High Low Value Volume
$17.37 $17.46 $17.31 $74.31M 4.279M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
3 11613 $17.30
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
$17.31 69740 3
View Market Depth
Last trade - 16.10pm 11/07/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
QBE (ASX) Chart
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.