MSB 2022 - The road to commercialisation, page-18

I think the point you have missed is that this thesis you have here is exactly the same for why the otat would be negative. It was not negative. You asking hypothetically why nvs is leaving, the market already knows most of the story, which I have pointed out but you don't acknowledge because you want to see 90 cents and you want more leeway for doubt: the reality is probably less interesting than you would think/hope it is, and is very likely priced in already for the reasons you are aspousing.

you also make the funny assertion that any person can invest in ONE stock Of 2387 stocks on the ASX at any one time.... Most sensible investors DIVERSIFY and invest in multiple investments at the one time, partially so they can withstand the drawdowns and declines of a single investment.

just a bit of food for thought: make two lists: write down the possible negative upcoming announcements and another with the possible upcoming positive announcement. One list gets much bigger very quickly, because MSB has basically experienced all the bad news it possibly can to date. Given these lists though, why are we going to see your price target?