Good luck with PNV.
The Japanese market is only a indication of the US market for Remestemcel L. US much larger and cost will be around 2 fold. It's not hard to see US$ 100 million on approval. PNV very good but has only just turned green. Market cap of 1.6 billion, this first milestone for MSB would represent a 5 fold increase in market cap.
What you miss is the power of the market as perception of a " off the shelf stem cell product" We see many drugs that have no more than a perception of been approvalable by the regulaters valued in the multi billions. MAB drugs worth 6 - 10 billion for results that could only be described as marginal. CSL's latest fail, MC retreat of around 8 billion based on not much more than hope that they had something for MACE.
Many drugs have these valuations. So MSB's MC is beyond imagination and has to many variables that it is impossible to predict.
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