" if MSB went up $1 per week for the next 2 years - the average weekly return would be $1 and the standard deviation (a measure of volatility) would be zero."
Dude, you are wrong. A price series that goes up by $1 per week for the next two years does not have a standard deviation of zero. The weekly return is not constant but experiences a relative decline, which in functional form looks like this:- f(x) = [x(x - 2)] / (x - 2)^2 {where x is weeks; and f(x) is the relative change in return at week x}
For example, if we started at x = $1 then return in the first week would be 100% ($1 to $2); in the second week would fall to 50% ($2 to $3); and in the third decline further to 33% ($3 to $4). This series, even expressed in infinite form does not have a standard deviation of zero. In fact, in the case you mention i.e. a series that starts at $1.36 and grows by $1 a week for two years, the annualised standard deviation of returns over the two-year period is approx 65%!
I think what you were trying to say, was that if the price went up by (x%) per week then the standard deviation would be zero.
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Last
$1.00 |
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-0.068(6.31%) |
Mkt cap ! $1.147B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$1.05 | $1.05 | 99.5¢ | $8.812M | 8.664M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
23 | 70216 | $1.00 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$1.01 | 11536 | 10 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
19 | 212461 | 0.995 |
31 | 350638 | 0.990 |
20 | 379767 | 0.985 |
24 | 233836 | 0.980 |
13 | 577511 | 0.975 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
1.000 | 67985 | 9 |
1.005 | 66417 | 7 |
1.010 | 83111 | 7 |
1.015 | 132021 | 9 |
1.020 | 176711 | 11 |
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