I try to be pessimistic with this sort of stuff and focus on the negatives:
-Tasley wants out of CHF partnership (wouldn't take much discussion?)
-ARDS is futile (discussion to make sure?)
-Death or departure of exec team members (nothing in the news)
-FDA does agree to use mortality as primary endpoint (too quick a turnaround?)
-Unforeseen manufacturing issue (evaluating damage)
Potential positives are:
-FDA discussion confirms mortality can be used as the primary endpoint (quick turnaround)
-ARDS overwhelming efficacy and a discussion to make sure the FDA will honour that
-GvHD conditionally approved (discussion around conditions)
-Partnership for CHF (too soon imo) or acquisition of tech
-Company restructure/acquisition with a partner
Everything else (CLBP +ve/-ve, GvHD not approved, etc.) could have just been a regular announcement and wouldn't have taken by surprise. It also would have been described as such by the trading halt request.
I doubt Tasly would leave on the back of that data (one of the only things that could reduce CHF mortality is a massive deal guys, the only potential issue is bureaucracy requesting confirmatory trial) without the full report.
Together - it looks like either ARDS futility/overwhelming efficacy or a company structure change, either in the exec or with an acquisition/Tasly leaving.
Happy to have people criticise my lists, let me know what I've missed in each
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$1.81 |
Change
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Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$1.66 | $1.81 | $1.65 | $10.78M | 6.182M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
12 | 10507 | $1.81 |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$1.82 | 98505 | 10 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
17 | 11092 | 1.810 |
25 | 49122 | 1.805 |
10 | 67202 | 1.800 |
8 | 41634 | 1.795 |
8 | 42201 | 1.790 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
1.815 | 70177 | 10 |
1.820 | 166668 | 13 |
1.825 | 130112 | 8 |
1.830 | 47782 | 7 |
1.835 | 305782 | 3 |
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