MSB Trading - 2020, page-18652

@Mikew1990

Assuming the first patient was dosed 6th of May, then the primary outcome of 30 days in the trial for the first patient was met on June 5th.

Initial estimates were for the trial to complete after ~5 months. We can assume this is true and assume exponential recruitment as not all sites were active from day one.

I don't know how long data analysis and write up to take with all of the administrative processes involved, I wouldn't expect longer than 48 hours considering the weight of the results - pure speculation.

It has currently been 33/34 days since the first patient met the 30-day endpoint if we go by the above assumptions. 33 or 34 days is ~1/4 of the total expected trial time (4-5 months), but interim readouts will occur after 30% patient recruitment. That's why the middle to late July is a good guess, possibly early August.