Back of the envelope guesstimates... If anyone has better numbers, feel free to plug them in.
AGVHD
Epidemiology: 50,000 GVHD / year USA + EU5 + JAPAN
Assume this is 80% of market: 60,000
35% to 50% progess to AGVHD, 21,000 to 30,000
Assume 10% steroid refractory: 2,100 to 3,000
Assume 80% market penetration: 1,680 to 2,400
Assume treatment cost at USD 20,000 (per Temcell): 33,600,000 to 48,000,000
Assume 50% gross profit: 16,800,000 to 24,000,000
Assume P/E ratio of 10 to 1: 168,000,000 to 240,000,000
Assumed contribution to Market value USD / 475M shares: 0.37 to 0.51
Assumed contribution to Market value AUD at 0.75c: 0.49 to 0.67
CHF
Epidemiology: 400,000 CHF / year in USA
Assume USA is 25% of market: 1,600,000
Assume 10% market penetration: 160,000
Assume treatment cost at USD 10,000 (scaling): 1,600,000,000
Assume 50% gross profit: 800,000,000
Assume P/E ratio of 10 to 1: 8,000,000,000
Assumed contribution to Market value USD / 475M shares: 16.84
Assumed contribution to Market value AUD at 0.75c: 22.46
- Forums
- ASX - By Stock
- MSB
- MSB trading
MSB trading, page-565
-
- There are more pages in this discussion • 2,900 more messages in this thread...
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Featured News
Add MSB (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
|
|||||
Last
$1.19 |
Change
0.085(7.69%) |
Mkt cap ! $1.358B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$1.10 | $1.20 | $1.09 | $13.21M | 11.37M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 15000 | $1.19 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$1.19 | 75212 | 5 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 15000 | 1.185 |
1 | 20000 | 1.175 |
1 | 5664 | 1.170 |
1 | 17568 | 1.160 |
3 | 56695 | 1.150 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
1.190 | 59712 | 2 |
1.195 | 36255 | 5 |
1.200 | 404381 | 31 |
1.205 | 3000 | 1 |
1.210 | 162475 | 7 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 12/07/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
Featured News
MSB (ASX) Chart |