BBI 0.00% $3.98 babcock & brown infrastructure group

Fact of the matter is that Asciano got it right. They raised...

  1. 315 Posts.
    Fact of the matter is that Asciano got it right. They raised equity rather than enduring a forced sale of assets. I fully realise that the BBI situation was viewed as dire and the EPS issues would have complicated an equity raising.

    We have the following developments in the balance sheet:

    On the negative side:
    - Significant asset impairments
    - Increased borrowing costs
    - Provision for a large tax bill
    - Marginal "current ratio"
    - Unknown cash flow state after current asset sales

    On the positive side:
    - revenues seem to be holding up, nicely
    - looks like there might even be scope to pass on some of the increased borrowing costs

    The name change is a psychological boost - however, it will not add to the cash flow.

    The situation with the EPS is disturbing. Clearly, the intention to revoke the "convert to alternative security" in the event of a change of control event was forced. The $2m pa payout "buys off" BNB ... but it still is possible to have a change of control event. Further, nothing changes the EPS interest and capital conversion to stapled events.

    It all hinges on the asset sale:
    - it MUST happen
    - we will only understand the cash flows once the detailed terms are known.

    Consequently, I got out of my remaining BEPPA, yesterday. Will review the situation once the terms of the deal are known.

    Good luck to holders!
 
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