Not if Victoria is any example.
Morwell - somebody sets fire to the idle coal mine - an act of barstadry and everybody knows who did it - voters look like throwing out local member because they were not happy with government handling and compensation. Potential Labor winner 24 years old (shades of Wyatt)
Shepparton - SPC going broke. Throw out the local member for an independent because locals want the plant saved, give it money.
